Electoral Vote Obama 375 McCain 157 Tied 6
Short Diary Sorry - but I am very Excited!According to Electoral Vote.com web site Obama is running strong to be the next President of the United States.Duhhh, like you all didn't know that already.
View ArticleJust take a breath
This is not intended to say we can relax on GOTV , or that voter suppression is not a truly disgusting and Un-American problem which must be stopped . All I'm doing here is playing with...
View ArticleEVs Aside, which Bush '04 State Do You Want to Win Most w/Poll
There are a number of states that Bush won in 2004 that Obama has put in play. Currently, there are 15 states that voted for Bush in 2004 which are no longer safe for McCain. These states include FL,...
View ArticleWhen Will It Be Over Election Night?
[EDIT: All times are CENTRAL. That's where I live and that's where the victory speech will be. All times based off this page.] We're less than one week away from the election, and we're all excited...
View ArticleMcCain's "Dream Win" Scenario--Reminds Me Of SNL in '88
McCain is really dreaming this election. With polls showing a solid Obama win for about a month now with both the popular and electoral votes, something pretty drastic would have to happen within the...
View ArticleObama Should Campaign in Arizona !
Look. From now until November 4th, for us it's all about GOTV, going door to door and making phone calls. It's all about ground game. It's all about getting folks to the polls and making sure that...
View ArticleWinning the Presidency With 28% of the Vote
There has been, over the course of this election, much wailing, gnashing of teeth and rending of garments over the past year or so with regard to polling. We are now, of course, a much more...
View ArticleI Don't Need To Vote . . .
Nate Silver, Andrew Gelman and Aaron Edlin Have written an article about the probability of your vote making a difference in the electoral outcome based on the state in which you cast your ballot.One...
View ArticleMy Final Prediction and a note on Correlation
Here's my final prediction.... Obama 311 - McCain 227
View ArticleElectoral College Math 8 [Updated] w/ EC poll
Yes, this is my final edition of EC Math. However, I am reserving the right to do one more just before the actual election results start rolling if I see last minute polling in some swing states that...
View ArticleElectoral College Math [In The Rear View Mirror]
Those of us who have made a hobby out of predicting the outcome of the Presidential race are often tempted pull our shirts over our heads and quietly try to slip away after the actual results come out...
View ArticlePoll: Obama > 400?
If Obama wins big in the the early East/Southern states, specifically Virginia, North Carolina, and Georgia, the western GOP may become demoralized and not turn out to vote. That might tip the scale...
View ArticleThe Youth Turned Out: Worth 26 EVs!
The increase in the youth vote accounts for 26 EVs and was the margin of victory in NC and IN in my numbers. More below...
View ArticleGeorgia is far from settled.
I spent the first 23 years of my life in Georgia. My family still lives there. Georgia politics are near and dear to my heart and I've got loads of support for some great politicans who've hailed...
View ArticleWas it a Landslide or Not? Update 2 w/Poll
As of last night, Rachel Maddow, one of the progressive movement's most vociferous champions, was definitely iffy on the subject. She was clear that it was a solid win, but landslide...not so sure. At...
View ArticleTexas ! Arizona ! Let's look at 2010 and 2012
Something interesting is happening in Texas. It's a state that has been bright Red for a while. It's the home of Bush's Crawford ranch and the Bush family runs deep there. It has a substantial...
View ArticleCount finished. Obama wins Nebraska electoral vote
It's un... "official." Great news. Obama makes history! All the ballots have now been counted and Obama has his electoral vote in Nebraska.After all remaining ballots were counted Friday, Obama emerged...
View ArticleWell now that Sarah's hibernating for the winter, Alan Keyes has stepped in...
Yes, no less august a personality than Alan Keyes, presidential candidate for the American Independent Party in 2008, has filed a lawsuit in California to stop the state from declaring its electoral...
View ArticlePredicting the 2012 Electoral Vote: Sunbelt Strategy (poll!)
Cross-posted at The Rockoff RagFrom The Hill: A study has been released by Election Data Services that attempts to incorporate new data from the US Census Bureau in order to project how the results of...
View ArticleLive Blog - Electoral Count Confirmed by Joint Session!
I thought I would post a diary for the Presidential Electoral proceedings. They begin at 1:00 eastern - approx. 15 at the time of this writing. This is a joint session of congress where the electoral...
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